Monday, December 12, 2016

Are the Carolina Panthers having the worst follow-up season by a Super Bowl loser ever?

Admittedly, I haven't been paying as close attention the NFL this season as I have in year's past. All those fancy talking points you heard about with ratings declining back in October, with theories such as Kaepernick's protests or the election leading the charge, do not apply here. Can't really explain it...I do love the idea of Roger Goodell's world crashing and burning, which is maybe subliminally why I haven't tuned in to many games not involving the Patriots.

But one thing I have noticed from (somewhat) afar is the plight of the Carolina Panthers, who actually improved to 5-8 today with a win over the San Diego Chargers. Carolina has the fourth-worst point differential in the NFC (minus-26), while Cam Newton is 27th in the NFL in passer rating (80.6), behind quarterbacking luminaries such as Sam Bradford, Cody Kessler, Trevor Siemien and yes, even Colin Kaepernick. His completion percentage (54.7) is 31st out of 32 qualified passers...ahead of only Kaepernick. He's behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brock Osweiler and Blake Bortles, for example.

What a mess. Is it my fault for wearing this outfit during Super Bowl 50?


Probably not. And I discovered this year's Panthers, even though they already have eight losses, are already assured of not being the worst Super Bowl runner-up by means of won-loss record the following year. That would be the 2003 Oakland Raiders, who finished 4-12 after being blown out by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Prior to the salary cap era (1994-), I could find only two teams that lost the Super Bowl and didn't finish the following season with a winning record (the 1988 and 1990 Denver Broncos, which finished 8-8 and 5-11, respectively.

With the advent of the salary cap, and the difficulty of retaining that mojo year to year, unless you're the New England Patriots? It's been a tad more difficult to get back to the big game...or do anything noteworthy, for that matter.

Only twice in Super Bowl history has a franchise lost the game in one year and gone on to win the next. And it hasn't happened since the 1972 Miami Dolphins.

I won't go back quite that far, but here's a look at how the teams of the salary cap era have done following a Super loss - not just the following season, but the long-range impact of the loss:

1994 Buffalo Bills (lost Super Bowl XXVIII vs. Cowboys, 30-13)
Record: 7-9, missed playoffs

Give the Bills all the credit in the world, as the 1993 version was the last team to return to the Super Bowl following a loss, just like the 1992 Bills before them, and the 1991 Bills before them. Those Buffalo teams lost four consecutive Super Bowls, which is almost as unfathomable as the fact the Bills haven't even been to the playoffs since 1999.

1995 San Diego Chargers (lost Super Bowl XXIX vs. 49ers, 49-26)
Record: 9-7; lost in AFC wild-card game vs. Colts, 35-20

Unfortunately, this wouldn't be the only time Rodney Harrison and Junior Seau had to rebound from a Super Bowl loss.

1996 Pittsburgh Steelers (lost Super Bowl XXX vs. Cowboys, 27-17)
Record: 10-6; lost in AFC divisional round vs. Patriots, 28-3

People forget that Drew Bledsoe torched the Steelers in the playoffs long before he relieved an injured Tom Brady in the 2001 AFCCG. That back shoulder toss to David Patten still gives me chills.

1997 New England Patriots (lost Super Bowl XXXI vs. Packers, 35-14)
Record: 10-6; lost in AFC divisional round vs. Steelers, 7-6

People also forget that Mike Vrabel sacked Drew Bledsoe in this playoff loss. 

1998 Green Bay Packers (lost Super Bowl XXXII vs. Broncos, 31-24)
Record: 11-5; lost in NFC wild-card game vs. 49ers, 30-27

The legend of Terrell Owens was born when the Niners eliminated the Packers, who somehow never made it back to the Super Bowl with Brett Favre...and somehow still have been only once with Aaron Rodgers.

1999 Atlanta Falcons (lost Super Bowl XXXIII vs. Broncos, 34-19)
Record: 5-11; missed playoffs

Falcons safety Eugene Robinson was arrested for soliciting a prostitute the night before the game...just hours after accepting the Bart Starr Award as a player who "best exemplifies outstanding character and leadership in the home, on the field and in the community." Atlanta finished 4-12 the following season, securing a high enough pick to trade up to No. 1 overall for a certain quarterback who was later spent 23 months in prison for running an outfit called "Bad Newz Kennels." Had the Falcons stayed at No. 5, they could have drafted LaDanian Tomlinson, as the Chargers did, instead of Mike Vick.

2000 Tennessee Titans (lost Super Bowl XXXIV vs. Rams, 23-16)
Record: 13-3; lost in AFC divisional round vs. Ravens, 24-10

Believe it or not, Jeff Fisher's Titans made the playoffs five more times after coming up one yard short vs. the Greatest Show on Turf. 

2001 New York Giants (lost Super Bowl XXXV vs. Ravens, 34-7)
Record: 7-9; missed playoffs

Color me shocked, a Giants team that was inconsistent from year to year.

2002 St. Louis Rams (lost Super Bowl XXXVI vs. Patriots, 20-17)
Record: 7-9; missed playoffs

Marc Bulger, a forgotten member of the "Brady 6," supplanted Kurt Warner as the starter midway through this season. Bulger led St. Louis to a 12-4 record in 2003...which is the last time the Rams franchise posted a winning record, and also about the last time anyone deemed it sensible Bulger was selected 31 picks prior to Brady, at No. 168 overall in 2000. One could argue Adam Vinatieri's right foot sent the Rams back to Los Angeles all these years later.

2003 Oakland Raiders (lost Super Bowl XXXVII vs. Buccaneers, 48-21)
Record: 4-12; missed playoffs

As stated earlier, this is, by means of record, the worst Super Bowl runner-up of all-time. It's a common misnomer that the Tuck Rule is what led to the Raiders' demise; they recovered quite nicely, for one year at least, before not posting a winning record again until this season and potentially moving to Las Vegas. The Tuck Rule was more of a delayed reaction, akin to memes kids make about the Molly hitting.

2004 Carolina Panthers (lost Super Bowl XXXVIII vs. Patriots, 32-29)
Record: 7-9; missed playoffs

Carolina didn't exactly fall off the face of the earth after the Patriots knocked them off in Houston - they went 53-43 prior to a 2-14 season in 2010, enabling them to draft Cam Newton - but it sure doesn't feel like these Panthers are trending in a similar manner to the Jake Delhomme teams of the mid-2000s.

2005 Philadelphia Eagles (lost Super Bowl XXXIX vs. Patriots, 24-21)
Record: 6-10; missed playoffs


The Terrell Owens driveway press conference was the immediate fallout. The faces have changed, but the dysfunction has remained more or less the same.

2006 Seattle Seahawks (lost Super Bowl XL vs. Steelers, 21-10
Record: 9-7; lost in NFC divisional round vs. Bears, 27-24

Did the Patriots steal a Super Bowl from the Seahawks with Malcolm Butler's pick? Perhaps, but if you really think about it, it was payback for Seattle stealing Super Bowl XLI from the Patriots. But wait, XLI was Colts-Bears, right? Well it should have been Patriots-Bears, but the Seahawks had to go out and trade for Deion Branch during his holdout, thus leaving Tom Brady with Reche Caldwell as his No. 1 receiver. Indeed, the ends justified the means on the goal line in Arizona eight years later.

2007 Chicago Bears (lost Super Bowl XLI vs. Colts, 29-17)
Record: 7-9; missed playoffs

If only Devin Hester had returned a few more kicks for touchdowns, "Trent Dilfer has more rings than Dan Marino" would have become "Rex Grossman has more rings than [generic QB X]."

2008 New England Patriots (lost Super Bowl XLII vs. Giants, 17-14)
Record: 11-5; missed playoffs

One quirk of the Patriots' dynasty is that it includes a season in which they were the best team ever to not win the Super Bowl (18-1), followed by a year in which they were the best team ever to not make the playoffs at 11-5. The Browns also had an 11-5 playoff-less season in the '80s, but they most certainly were not coming off the best regular season in NFL history, either.

2009 Arizona Cardinals (lost Super Bowl XLIII vs. Steelers, 27-23)
Record: 10-6; lost in NFC divisional playoffs vs. Saints, 45-14

'Member Kurt Warner? His second act as a Cardinal wasn't all that shabby, especially considering he was behind Matt Leinart on the depth chart at one point. Somewhat related: now that the Bruce Arians Cardinals appear to be a flop, I'm so ready for the return of "Larry Fitzgerald to New England" rumors. Those used to be as automatic as a first-round bye for the Pats.

2010 Indianapolis Colts (lost Super Bowl XLIV vs. Saints, 31-17)
Record: 10-6; lost in AFC wild-card game vs. Jets, 17-16

Peyton Manning's final season in Indy ended in the most fitting of ways: with a one-and-done vs. Mark Sanchez...who would also send Tom Brady to a one-and-done the following week. Of course, Peyton's teams went one-and-done NINE times. Brady, to date, just twice.

2011 Pittsburgh Steelers (lost Super Bowl XLV vs. Packers, 31-25)
Record: 12-4; lost in AFC wild-card game vs. Broncos, 29-23 (OT)

Long before Tim Tebow was batting .125 in the Arizona Fall League, he was winning playoff games vs. Ben Roethlisberger.

2012 New England Patriots (lost Super Bowl XLVI vs. Giants, 21-17)
Record: 12-4; lost in AFC Championship Game vs. Ravens, 28-13

Just another quirk of the ol' dynasty: the Patriots became the first team in the salary cap era to get as far as the conference championship game the season after losing a Super Bowl. During a season which Aaron Hernandez played after (allegedly) killing two people in Boston the summer before. That is going to be among the more fascinating chapters of Belichick's autobiography post-career, by the way.

2013 San Francisco 49ers (lost Super Bowl XLVII vs. Ravens, 34-31)
Record: 12-4; lost NFC Championship Game vs. Seahawks, 23-17


The 49ers sure feel like the next team to fall into an abyss a la the Raiders or Rams. It's hard to believe this team was in the NFCCG just three short years ago. Until you consider they forced out the best coach in football not named Bill Belichick.

2014 Denver Broncos (lost Super Bowl XLVIII vs. Seahawks, 43-8)
Record: 12-4; lost in AFC divisional round vs. Colts, 24-13

Give Peyton Manning credit because those coattails he rode rebounding from this loss and winning a Super Bowl the following year is just part of what makes him so great.

2015 Seattle Seahawks (lost Super Bowl XLIX vs. Patriots, 28-24)
Record: 10-6; lost in NFC divisional round vs. Cardinals, 31-24

The Seahawks, similar to some Patriots and Broncos teams on this list, have some staying power. The Malcolm Butler interception is the most improbable play in Super Bowl history made by a defensive player, and yet the team was still talented enough to return to the playoffs and win a game the season after. This time, sans Marshawn Lynch and now Earl Thomas, too, suddenly? We'll see.



The Panthers could run the table and get to .500, which would put them right in the middle of the pack in terms of Super Bowl losers of the salary cap era. But the headline for that team, no matter what, will be the regression of Cam Newton. And perhaps their season won't be the worst encore off a Super Bowl loss, but the franchise itself could morph into one of the most disappointing one-hit wonders of all-time. I know I've already used "people forget that" several times in this blog, but did you even somewhat remember the Panthers were 15-1 last season regular season? And that loss came in the season finale? What a strange team indeed.

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